The Detroit Tigers will face their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup and the first pitch will be at 3:10 p.m. ET.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Detroit (+187) is entering this game as the underdog against Cleveland (-205) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Tigers +1.5 runs and -105 for the Indians -1.5.
The Tigers are 60-87 SU and have gone 77-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 82-65 SU and 69-77 ATS. The team’s lost 20.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 18.5 units ATS.
Indians games have a 70-69-7 over/under record in 2018. Detroit has been a good under bet with a total record of 62-77-7.
Right-hander Michael Fulmer is projected to start for the visiting Tigers. Fulmer is 3-11 with a 4.56 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.30 ERA against Cleveland this year (two starts).
The Indians are sending righty Mike Clevinger (11-8, 3.16 ERA) to the mound. Clevinger has 191 strikeouts and 59 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.18. Clevinger is 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 3.09 ERA across two starts against Detroit this year.
As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.43 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 64 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.65 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.32.
The Cleveland offense has put up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .183/.272/.335 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley have led the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is hitting .283/.356/.523 with 34 home runs, 85 RBIs, 119 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line is .305/.359/.466 with 15 homers, 72 RBIs and 79 runs.
For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.48 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.38, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K-per-9 of 7.98.
The Tigers offense has slashed .243/.303/.384 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias continue to lead Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .296/.352/.492 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Iglesias (.269/.310/.389) is up to five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 steals.
The Tigers have lost 13.3 units and are 54-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 42 of those games, as opposed to 61 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 14.3 units and are 52-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 53 of those games, as opposed to 51 which went under the total.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Detroit’s last seven games.
The Indians have lost four of their last five games SU.
Cleveland has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.8 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 15 over their last 10.
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