Week 9 Free Pick – Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys

The Tennessee Titans (+7) are heading southwest to battle the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. ESPN has the TV rights and the Monday Night game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Tennessee Titans             +7           +230      ov 40½
Dallas Cowboys                 -7            -280       un 40½

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

In this early-week game, Dallas is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Titans are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -280. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 40.5 points. Some solid in-game betting opportunities might present themselves during this showdown.

Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Cowboys and the under. This game’s line initially opened at -5 while the total was placed originally at 42.

The Titans are 4-3 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 0.1 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 2-5. The Cowboys have lost 0.9 units this season. The team is 2-4-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 2-5.

The Titans have gone 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cowboys are also 3-4 SU.

The Titans are most-recently on the rebound after a thin 20-19 defeat to the Chargers in Week 7. Marcus Mariota completed 24-of-32 passes for 237 yards, as well as one TD and an interception. Dion Lewis (91 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and Derrick Henry (33 yards on 12 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Tajae Sharpe (seven receptions, 101 yards) and Lewis (six catches, 64 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Dallas just fell 20-17 to Washington back in Week 7. Dak Prescott completed 22-of-35 passes for 273 yards and one touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott (33 rushing yards on 15 attempts) handled the running attack while Cole Beasley (seven receptions, 56 yards) and Allen Hurns (five catches, 74 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tennessee has run the ball on 49.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Dallas has an overall rush percentage of 48.5. The Titans have produced 108 rush yards/game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Cowboys are putting up 137 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Cowboys could hold an edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their running backs has logged 4.9 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Titans have registered 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.

The Titans offensive scheme has logged 192 yards/contest in the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Cowboys have put up 202 pass yards per game and have eight total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tennessee has allowed 112 rush yards and 238 pass yards per game. The Dallas defense has allowed 234.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Titans have given up an ANY/A of 6.36 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys are allowing an ANY/A of 6.63.

Offensively, Mariota has amassed 913 passing yards this year, and has completed 66 percent of his 135 attempts with three scores through the air and five interceptions. Mariota’s got a 4.92 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.20 over the last two outings.

The Titans will likely try to control the pace by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Tajae Sharpe (189 yards, one TD), Dion Lewis (268 rush yards, one rush TD, 194 receiving yards) and Derrick Henry (252 rush yards, one rush TD, 44 receiving yards) have been significant focal points in the offensive scheme for Tennessee.

On the other sideline, Dak Prescott has completed 111-of-179 passes for 1,234 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Prescott’s ANY/A sits at 5.28 for the season and 6.99 across his past two outings.

The Cowboys will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Ezekiel Elliott (164 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Cole Beasley (249 receiving yards) and Dak Prescott (154 rush yards, one rush TD) have seen quite a few touches recently.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Betting Pick: Titans at Cowboys

SU Winner – Cowboys, ATS Winner – Titans, O/U – Under

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Team Betting Trends

The Dallas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Tennessee has lost two.

The Dallas defense has sacked opposing QBs 19 times this year. Tennessee has recorded 15 sacks.

As a team, Tennessee has averaged 4.4 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.7 over its last two.

Dallas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.4 over its past two.


Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
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Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
The Tennessee Titans (+7) are heading southwest to battle the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. ESPN has the TV rights and the Monday Night game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET.

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