The Detroit Pistons (21-18) will try to end their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Brooklyn Nets (15-25) at Barclays Center. The game will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 10, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 204 points with Detroit opening as a 2-point favorite.
Detroit Pistons vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Prediction
The Pistons are hoping for a better outcome after their 112-109 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans in their last game. New Orleans’ 0.598 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.484. The Pelicans’ mark was above their season average of 0.554. Andre Drummond had a good performance for Detroit, finishing with 16 points and 14 rebounds.
In the Nets’ last matchup, they lost a tough one against the Toronto Raptors, 114-113. Toronto’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Brooklyn. The Raptors had a rate of 0.475 (below their season average of 0.540), while the Nets posted a mark of 0.450 (below their season average of 0.508). With 31 points on 10-for-24 shooting, Spencer Dinwiddie was Brooklyn’s high scorer.
It will be a battle of conflicting paces as the up-tempo Nets will look to push the more half-court-oriented Pistons. The Nets currently rank third in possessions per game while the Pistons are 22nd.
Detroit heads into the contest with records of 21-18 straight up (SU) and 22-15-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total high when the Pistons are involved, as 59.0 percent of their games have finished under the total.
Brooklyn has an outstanding record ATS (25-15), despite being 15-25 SU. Games involving the Nets also tend to go under the total (55.0 percent).
After the Nets won two out of three meetings against the Pistons last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last game, Detroit won 90-89. The Pistons had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.4 vs. 16.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.128 vs. 0.098).
Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Detroit is 12-8-1 ATS with 13 unders, 7 overs and 1 push.
At home, Brooklyn is 12-7 ATS with 10 unders and 9 overs.
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Brooklyn is 10-1 and Detroit is 11-4.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Pistons are 18-6 and the Nets are 11-18.
Brooklyn ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (20.9) while Detroit ranks 26th (24.5).
The Pistons rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Nets rank 21st (17.4).
Brooklyn ranks fourth in rebounds per game (46.0) while Detroit ranks 21st (41.8).
The Nets rank second in three pointers attempted per game (33.9) while the Pistons rank 18th (28.4).
Detroit ranks 14th in steals per game (7.6) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (6.4).
The Pistons rank fourth in second chance points allowed per game (10.7) while the Nets rank 18th (12.5).
Detroit ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (8.5) while Brooklyn ranks 11th (10.4).
The Nets rank 22nd in blocks per game (4.2) while the Pistons rank 29th (3.3).
Detroit averages 42.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.5).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Pistons have been outscored by an average of 5.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Detroit has defeated opponents by an average of 0.0 points.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 99.8 points per game (6.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (8.6 below their season average).
