The Alabama Crimson Tide (14-7, 5-3 SEC) will try to continue their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Missouri Tigers (13-8, 3-5 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 31, 2018, and will air on ESPN2.
Alabama opened as a 5.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 136.5 points.
Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Prediction
The Tigers are hoping for a better outcome after their 74-62 loss to the Mississippi State Bulldogs in their last matchup. Mississippi State’s 0.189 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Missouri, who had a mark of 0.070. The Bulldogs’ mark was below their season average of 0.211, while the Tigers’ was below their season average of 0.291. Kassius Robertson was Missouri’s leading scorer with 20 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
In the Crimson Tide’s last game, they defeated the No. 12 Oklahoma Sooners, 80-73. Alabama’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Oklahoma. The Crimson Tide had a rate of 0.222 (below their season average of 0.279), while the Sooners posted a mark of 0.099 (below their season average of 0.255). With 14 points and five rebounds, Alabama’s Herbert Jones played well.
Look for Missouri to own the offensive glass in this meeting. The Tigers are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 31st in offensive rebounding percentage at 35.0 percent. Meanwhile, Alabama ranks 258th in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 69.3 percent.
Missouri holds records of 13-8 straight up (SU) and 10-10 against the spread (ATS). Of the Tigers’ 19 games that accepted bets, 10 have finished under the total.
Meanwhile, Alabama is 14-7 SU and 11-8-1 ATS. Of the Crimson Tide’s 19 games with betting action, 13 have finished under the total.
After the Crimson Tide won both meetings against the Tigers last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, Alabama won 57-54. The Crimson Tide’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Tigers. Alabama had a rate of 35.0, while Missouri posted a mark of 28.6.
Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Alabama, ATS Winner – Missouri, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Missouri is 5-5 ATS with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Alabama is 6-3-1 ATS at home with 8 unders and 1 over.
Missouri ranks 28th in rebounds allowed per game (31.3) while Alabama ranks 189th (36.1).
The Tigers rank 84th in three pointers attempted per game (24.0) while the Crimson Tide rank 226th (19.2).
Alabama averages 6.3 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the NCAA. Missouri ranks 124th in blocks allowed per game (3.8).
The Crimson Tide average 7.0 steals per game, which ranks 67th in the nation. The Tigers rank 121st in steals allowed per game (6.5).
Missouri is 28th in the NCAA with 11.0 assists allowed per game while Alabama is 52nd with 11.7 assists allowed per game.
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Missouri is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Alabama is 4-1 ATS with 5 unders over their last five games.
The Tigers have been outscored by an average of 7.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Missouri has defeated opponents by an average of 6.8 points.
During their last five games, the Crimson Tide have scored an average of 72.8 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 70.0 points per game (0.0 below their season average).
