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Reading: NBA MVP Odds: James Harden now listed as betting favorite
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Home » Blog » NBA MVP Odds: James Harden now listed as betting favorite
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NBA MVP Odds: James Harden now listed as betting favorite

Geoff Harvey
Last updated: November 10, 2025 9:49 am
Geoff Harvey
4 Min Read
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Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Rockets had a rough start to the season but they have caught fire of late. They were 11-14 on December 8th but have won 11 of their last 12 games to climb up to the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference. They’ve been playing without Chris Paul but that hasn’t mattered as James Harden has taken his game to another level in the last month. That’s led the BetDSI oddsmakers to post him as the odds-on favorite to win the 2018-19 MVP Award:

2018-19 NBA MVP Odds

James Harden +250

Giannis Antetokounmpo +450

LeBron James +500

Anthony Davis +750

Kawhi Leonard +1000

Stephen Curry +1200

Kevin Durant +1200

Joel Embiid +1500

Paul George +2500

Russell Westbrook +3000

Nikola Jokic +5000

Damian Lillard +7500

Kyrie Irving +7500

Ben Simmons +20000

Donovan Mitchell +20000

Victor Oladipo +20000

Blake Griffin +30000

DeMar DeRozan +30000

Throughout most of the season, Giannis Antetokounmpo has been the favorite as he’s led the Milwaukee Bucks to the top spot in the Eastern Conference. However, Harden’s numbers recently are simply unparalleled — not only this season, but ever.

Related: NBA MVP Betting

To start, Harden is now the first player in NBA history to record at least 35 points and five assists in nine straight games. On Thursday, he scored over 40 for the fifth straight game while posting his second straight 40-point triple-double. The only other players to have scored 40 or more in five straight games are Wilt Chamberlain, Michael Jordan, Elgin Baylor, Kobe Bryant and Allen Iverson. Over his last 11 games, he’s averaging a ridiculous 41.1 points per game along with 9.5 assists, 7.1 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 6.1 threes. The Greek Freak is having a nice season with 26.3 points per game, 12.6 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 1.6 blocks and 1.3 steals but Harden is on a whole other planet right now.

What has helped Harden’s case to move up into the role of the favorite is a few things. To start, he plays in the Western Conference, which is viewed as the tougher of the two conferences. Secondly, a chunk of his team is injured as Paul is out and even Eric Gordon missed Thursday’s game. Lastly, Harden just led the Rockets back from a 20-point deficit on the road in Golden State — against the two-time defending champions — while hitting the game-winning three-pointer. That all happened on live television, so he’s squarely in the spotlight right now. As well as The Greek Freak has played, not many of his games are viewed nationwide as the Bucks just aren’t that type of an attraction.

We’ve still got a long way to go in the season but Harden is now the clear-cut favorite. With LeBron James nursing an injury, Anthony Davis’ New Orleans Pelicans slumping and Kawhi Leonard’s Toronto Raptors getting beat in San Antonio on Thursday, it seems like this will be a two-horse race for the time being. As of now, Harden leads and Antetekounmpo will have to catch up down the stretch or hope that Harden cools off.

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TAGGED:basketballHouston RocketsJames HardennbaNBA MVPRockets
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ByGeoff Harvey
Geoff Harvey has been creating odds and betting models since his days in the womb, just don't ask him how he used to get his injury reports back then. Harvey contributes a wealth of quality and informational content that is a valuable resource for any handicapper.
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