The Dallas Mavericks (2-6) will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak when they take on the New York Knicks (2-6) at American Airlines Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018, and will air on MSG Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 215 points with Dallas set as a 6-point favorite.
New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
The Knicks enter this matchup following a 107-101 loss to the Indiana Pacers. The game’s combined points (208) came in just under the projected point total of 208.5. Indiana’s 27.8 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over New York, who had a mark of 22.5. The Pacers’ mark was above their season average of 21.1. Tim Hardaway Jr. was the game’s leading scorer with 37 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
In the Mavericks’ last game, they let one slip away to the Los Angeles Lakers, 114-113, but did cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (227) came in under the O/U total of 234. Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Dallas. The Lakers had a rate of 0.214 (above their season average of 0.158), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.163 (below their season average of 0.194). With 15 points and 10 assists, J.J. Barea had a solid performance for Dallas.
Dallas should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Since last season, Dallas ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.3 percent), while New York has forced the eighth-fewest turnovers (13.2 percent). Moreover, the Knicks rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 percent), while the Mavericks rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.1 percent).
Although New York has trouble winning games straight up (2-6 SU), they have a phenomenal 5-2-1 record against the spread (ATS). Of the Knicks’ eight games, five have gone under the total.
Dallas has a superb 5-3 record ATS, despite being 2-6 SU. Contrary to New York, games involving the Mavericks tend to finish over the total (62.5 percent).
These two teams split two games last season. In the most recent contest, the Mavericks won 110-97. Making free throws was one of Dallas’ largest strengths. They were 16-18 (88.9 percent), while the Knicks were 9-12 (75.0 percent).
Knicks vs. Mavericks Betting Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
New York is 16-4 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 16-13.
When reaching 100 points, the Knicks are 30-35 and the Mavericks are 20-34.
Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (33.1) while New York ranks 29th (24.0).
The Knicks rank ninth in points in the paint per game (46.3) while the Mavericks rank last (39.8).
New York ranks seventh in second chance points per game (13.5) while Dallas ranks 28th (10.8).
The Mavericks rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.1) while the Knicks rank 21st (17.3).
New York ranks eighth in fast break points allowed per game (11.2) while Dallas ranks 27th (14.6).
The Knicks rank 14th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Mavericks rank 27th (3.9).
New York ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.9) while Dallas ranks 27th (41.5).
The Mavericks rank 14th in assists per game (22.8) while the Knicks rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.9).
Dallas ranks 24th in steals per game (7.0) while New York ranks 28th (6.8).
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