The Washington Wizards (36-26) square off against the Toronto Raptors (43-17) at Capital One Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, March 2, 2018, and will air on ESPN.
Toronto opened as a 3-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points.
Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards Free Prediction
The Raptors come in on a high note after defeating the Orlando Magic in their last outing, 117-104. The Raptors had a better free throw rate (0.181 vs. 0.160) and had a better turnover percentage (11.4 vs. 12.5). Toronto received a boost from Kyle Lowry, who recorded 17 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds.
In the Wizards’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Golden State Warriors, 109-101. Golden State was successful at getting and making free throws. The Warriors made 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent), while the Wizards were 18-21 (85.7 percent). Washington’s Otto Porter Jr. had a good game, leading the team in scoring with 29 points on 10-for-17 shooting.
Toronto holds records of 43-17 straight up (SU) and 34-26 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Raptors games, with 32 overs compared to 28 unders.
Meanwhile, Washington is 36-26 SU and 30-31-1 ATS. Contrary to Toronto, just over half of Wizards games have finished under the projected point total.
Porter Jr. has averaged 18.6 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.6 steals over the last five games for Washington.
The Wizards lead the season series against the Raptors two games to one, including a close 122-119 victory in their last matchup. Washington covered as a 4-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 241 points, which was 27 points above the projected point total of 214 points. The Wizards had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 20.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.282 vs. 0.229). In the loss, Lowry led all scorers on the team with 29 points.
Toronto Raptors at Washington Wizards Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Toronto is 17-13 ATS on the road with 17 overs and 13 unders.
Washington is 11-18-1 ATS at home with 15 overs, 13 unders and 2 pushes.
Toronto is 20-5 when they allow below 100 points, while Washington is 17-2.
When reaching 100 points, the Raptors are 40-10 and the Wizards are 33-15.
Toronto ranks second in blocks per game (6.0) while Washington ranks 22nd (4.4).
The Raptors rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (32.5) while the Wizards rank 23rd (26.6).
Toronto ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (48.5) while Washington ranks 23rd (42.6).
The Raptors rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while the Wizards rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6).
Toronto ranks 15th in second chance points per game (12.6) while Washington ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
The Wizards rank fourth in assists per game (24.7) while the Raptors rank 10th in assists allowed per game (22.0).
Toronto ranks sixth in fast break points per game (14.2) while Washington ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (11.0).
The Raptors rank ninth in steals per game (8.2) while the Wizards rank 13th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Washington is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 13.2, up from 8.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 106.4 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.4 points per game (0.8 above their season average).
