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Week 6 Free Betting Prediction: Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Redskins

Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Redskins (-2) are gearing up to welcome the Carolina Panthers to FedEx Field. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Carolina Panthers vs. Washington Redskins Betting Preview

Carolina is a live dog and is currently getting 2 points in this Sunday NFC game. The Panthers are also receiving +110 moneyline odds while the Redskins are -130. On the surface it looks like there should be multiple decent live betting possibilities in this game.

The game’s line opened at -3, but it’s shifted since then.

The Panthers have gained 2.0 units so far in 2018 and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-1. The Redskins have lost 0.1 units this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 1-2.

The Panthers are 3-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Redskins are 2-2 SU.

The Panthers are coming off a 33-31 victory over the Giants in Week 5. Cam Newton completed 21-of-35 passes for 237 yards, two scores and two interceptions. Christian McCaffrey (58 yards on 17 rush attempts) led the ground attack in the win. McCaffrey (five receptions, 35 yards, one TD) and D.J. Moore (four catches, 49 yards) handled the receiving duties.

Washington just lost a 43-19 game to New Orleans in Week 5. The defensive secondary allowed the Saints to air it out for 363 yards and three touchdowns. Tre’Quan Smith had a productive showing in the win for New Orleans, recording 111 yards and two touchdowns on three catches. For Washington, Alex Smith completed 23-of-39 passes for 275 yards and one interception. Chris Thompson contributed in all aspects in the loss. In addition to 17 yards on eight rush attempts, Thompson also reeled in six catches for 45 yards.

When looking at offensive play-calling, each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Carolina has run the ball on 48.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Washington has a rush percentage of 46.4. The Panthers have produced 154 rush yards per game and have four touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Redskins are putting up 113 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

The Panthers offensive scheme has logged 221 yards/contest through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Redskins have put up 261 pass yards per game and have four total pass scores.

Defensively, Carolina has let opponents run for an average of 95 yards and pass for 294 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 240.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 92.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Panthers have given up an ANY/A of 6.36 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins are allowing an ANY/A of 6.19.

Offensively, Newton is up to 733 passing yards this season, and has completed 66 percent of his 106 attempts with five scores through the air and three interceptions. He’s got a 5.90 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.05 over the last two outings.

In the host locker room, Alex Smith has completed 77-of-115 passes for 822 yards, two TDs and one INT. Smith’s ANY/A sits at 6.09 for the year and 6.68 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 6 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers at Washington Redskins

SU Winner – Redskins, ATS Winner – Panthers

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Notes

Betting Notes

Washington has lost three fumbles this season while Carolina has let one get away.

Each team defense has recorded nine sacks this season.

Carolina has averaged 5.21111111111111 yards per carry across its past three outings and 4.8 over its last two.

Washington has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.9 over its last two.

In its last three matchups, Washington is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Carolina was favored by 7 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 43.5. The over cashed and Carolina failed to cover in the 33-31 victory over the Giants.

Over its last three matchups, Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Washington was getting 2 points in its last game and the Over/Under going into it was 46.5. The over cashed and Washington failed to cover in that 43-19 loss to New Orleans.

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Written by GMS Previews

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