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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Matchup 08/28/18

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins will head east to play their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will showcase the action. The game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas has listed Cleveland (-205) as the favorite over Minnesota (+187). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).

The Twins have gone 61-69 SU this year and are 68-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 2.3 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 74-56 SU and 62-68 ATS. They’ve lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.7 units ATS.

Indians games have an over/under record of 64-60-6 in 2018. Twins games have gone under 65 times, gone over 62 times and pushed on three occasions.

The right-handed Kyle Gibson is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. Gibson (7-10, 3.63 ERA) has recorded 149 strikeouts in 158.2 innings so far. He’s 1-2 with 19 strikeouts and a 3.80 ERA against Cleveland this year (four starts).

The Indians are putting the ball in the right hand of Carlos Carrasco (15-7, 3.55 ERA, 1.13 WHIP), who’s got 167 strikeouts and 29 walks. Carrasco is 1-3 with 29 strikeouts and a 4.56 ERA over five starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.49 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.34 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

Twins hitters have slashed .245/.316/.405 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .289/.327/.483 with 22 home runs, 73 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Mauer is hitting .275 with five homers, 39 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 57 games against divisional opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The Cleveland hitters have put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .244/.310/.399 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is slashing .286/.363/.530 with 29 home runs, 78 RBIs, 106 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Brantley’s line is .301/.358/.466 with 14 homers, 69 RBIs and 73 runs.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 48-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 46 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 11.9 units and are 46-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve cashed the under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in just two of Cleveland’s last seven games.

The Twins have dropped four of their last five games SU.

Cleveland has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.6 over its last five.

The Twins have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 13 over their last 10.

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