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Home » Blog » NCAA Football Free Pick – Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
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NCAA Football Free Pick – Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

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Last updated: September 25, 2018 4:03 pm
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Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

The Indiana Hoosiers (-17) and Rutgers Scarlet Knights will go head-to-head on the turf at HighPoint.com Stadium. BTN will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Contents
  • Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview
  • Free NCAA Betting Tip: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
  • Notes

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights Betting Preview

Rutgers is a live dog and is currently getting 17 points in this Big 10 game. In order to take the favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to wager $1,400 to win $100 back on the Hoosiers (-1400). The Scarlet Knights are getting +780 moneyline odds. Should one side gets out in front early on, it will likely create a solid in-game betting opportunity.

This game’s line initially opened at 15 but the public has been hammering the Hoosiers.

The Hoosiers have gained 2.0 units so far and are 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-2. The Scarlet Knights have lost 1.1 units this season. The team is 1-3 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Hoosiers are 3-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 1-3 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.

The Hoosiers are on the rebound after a 35-21 defeat to Michigan State last week. The Hoosiers defense allowed the Spartans to run for 131 yards on 40 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Offensively, Peyton Ramsey completed 32-of-46 passes for 272 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. As a team, the Hoosiers rushed for just 29 yards in the defeat.

One week ago, Buffalo knocked off this Rutgers crew by a score of 42-13. As a group, the Scarlet Knights collectively completed 18-of-37 passes for 168 yards. Giovanni Rescigno went 12-for-24 for 129 yards while Artur Sitkowski was six-of-13 for 39 yards. Raheem Blackshear (69 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) and Jonathan Hilliman (36 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game while Bo Melton (three receptions, 29 yards) and Blackshear (three catches, eight yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each squad has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Indiana’s run the ball on 54.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Rutgers has an overall rush percentage of 53.6. The Hoosiers have produced 184 rush yards per game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Scarlet Knights are totaling 138 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

If 2018 results are any indication, then it appears the Hoosiers could hold an edge along both the offensive and defensive fronts, as their offensive line has allowed only 29 sacks while the D-line logged 35 sacks. The Scarlet Knights O-line has given up 18 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 16 times.

The Hoosiers offensive scheme has averaged 219 yards in the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Scarlet Knights have put up 141 pass yards per contest and have only one pass TDs.

Defensively, Indiana should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 173 yards and pass for 156 yards per game. The Rutgers defense has allowed 215.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 219.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hoosiers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.25 to opposing QBs, while the Scarlet Knights have given up a 7.47 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ramsey has amassed 578 passing yards this season, and has connected on 72 percent of his 95 attempts with seven passing scores and four interceptions. He’s got a 5.06 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.83 over the last two games.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Indiana in this one. Whop Philyor, Stevie Scott and Peyton Ramsey have collectively accounted for 404 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

For the home team, Giovanni Rescigno has completed 17-of-36 passes for 156 yards, zero TDs and one INT. Rescigno’s ANY/A sits at a minuscule 2.18 for the season and 5.00 over his past two outings.

We’re looking for the Scarlet Knights to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with TE Jerome Washington (106 receiving yards this season), Raheem Blackshear (162 rush yards, two rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Jonathan Hilliman (126 rush yards, two rush TDs) have been significant factors in the Rutgers offense.

When these two schools met a year ago, Indiana won easily 41-0.

Free NCAA Betting Tip: Indiana Hoosiers vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights

SU Winner – Hoosiers, ATS Winner – Hoosiers

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Indiana was the underdog by 7 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 52. The over cashed and Indiana did not cover in the 35-21 loss to Michigan State.

As a team, Indiana has produced 4.34166666666667 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.

Rutgers has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.7 over its past two.

The Rutgers offense has lost four fumbles this season while Indiana has lost one.

In its last three games, Indiana is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Rutgers was getting 6 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 53.5. The over cashed and Rutgers did not cover in the 42-13 loss to Buffalo.

In its last three matches, Rutgers is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Hoosiers offense has recorded one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have accounted for zero such plays.

The Indiana defense has yet to allow a passing play of 40 or more yards, while Rutgers has given up five such plays.

The Indiana offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Rutgers has created three such runs.

The Hoosiers defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Scarlet Knights have given up 12 such runs.

The Indiana defense has seven sacks on the year while Rutgers has five.

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TAGGED:Big Tencollege footballIndiana HoosiersRutgers Scarlet Knights
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