The streaking Toronto Blue Jays will go for their fifth consecutive victory when they play host to the Philadelphia Phillies at Rogers Centre. RSN Sports will televise this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Philadelphia (-120) is the favorite over Toronto (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +125 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -145 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Blue Jays are 59-69 straight up (SU) and 54-73 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 8.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.3 units (ATS). Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 69-59 SU and have gone 63-64 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 9.5 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 10.1 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Toronto games have a 65-54-8 over/under record in 2018. The Phillies have been a good under bet with a total record of 55-67-5.
Nick Pivetta will get the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Pivetta (7-10, 4.66 ERA) has recorded 158 strikeouts in 129.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays will turn to righty Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.52 ERA), who has 67 strikeouts and 45 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.51. Sanchez hasn’t faced the Phillies yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.97, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The Toronto hitters have put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .252/.316/.553 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the charge for the Blue Jays’ hitters this year. Smoak is slashing .251/.358/.459 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored, and Pillar is batting .255 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 steals.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.82 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 9.29.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.317/.394 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production has been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera, who have combined to launch 31 home runs. Hernandez is slashing .261/.366/.369 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 80 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Herrera is hitting .266/.319/.441 with 20 homers, 64 RBIs and 55 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 9.2 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.2 units and are 36-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in five of Philadelphia’s last seven contests.
The Phillies have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
Philadelphia has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.
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