Offense meets defense when the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (9-0) welcome the South Dakota Coyotes (7-2) to Cameron Indoor Stadium. The game can be seen on ESPN2 at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2017.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 157.5 points with Duke opening as a 19.5-point favorite.
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Duke Blue Devils ATS Prediction
In the Coyotes’ last matchup, they blew out the UMKC Kangaroos, 82-63. The Coyotes held the Kangaroos to an offensive rebounding percentage of 8.1 (below their season average of 19.8) and had a free throw rate of 0.323 (above their season average of 0.251). South Dakota received a boost from Matt Mooney, who was the game’s high scorer with 30 points on 10-for-14 shooting.
The Blue Devils were victorious over the Indiana Hoosiers in their last matchup, 91-81. The Blue Devils made 22 of their 29 free throws (75.9 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 13.2). Marvin Bagley III was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 10-for-15 shooting.
This showdown pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Since the 2016-17 season, Duke ranks sixth in offensive efficiency and South Dakota ranks first in defensive efficiency.
South Dakota heads into the game with records of 7-2 straight up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Coyotes’ 5 games with betting action, three have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Duke owns records of 9-0 SU and 6-1 ATS. Unlike South Dakota, games including the Blue Devils tend to go over the total (100.0 percent).
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Duke Blue Devils ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Duke, ATS Winner – South Dakota, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Duke ranks 40th in three pointers allowed per game (18.8) while South Dakota ranks 240th (22.1).
The Blue Devils rank 32nd in blocks per game (4.9) while the Coyotes rank 166th (3.3).
South Dakota averages 38.0 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the nation. Duke ranks 88th in rebounds allowed per game (33.7).
The Coyotes rank 30th in assists allowed per game (12.6) while the Blue Devils rank 109th (12.5).
Duke ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (4.7) while South Dakota ranks 34th (5.1).
