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Week 11 Free Betting Preview – Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

In a battle featuring two offenses with significantly different play-calling schemes, the Seattle Seahawks (-3) are set to host the Green Bay Packers at CenturyLink Field. The Thursday showdown will be nationally-televised on FOX and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Green Bay Packers              +2.5           +115      ov 49½
Seattle Seahawks                -2.5            -130       un 49½

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview

The Packers enter into this Thursday NFC game as the dog here and are currently getting 3 points. The Packers are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Seahawks are -140. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 49 points. Multiple good in-game betting opportunities should exist during the matchup.

The game’s O/U has moved lower after initially being set at 49.5. The opening line of -3 hasn’t changed.

The Packers are 4-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.3 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 5-4. The Seahawks have lost 0.8 units this season. The team is 5-3-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-6.

The Packers have gone 4-4-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Seahawks are 4-5 SU.

The Packers are coming off a resounding 31-12 victory over Miami in Week 10. The Packers defense allowed the Dolphins to run for 131 yards on 23 rush attempts. Offensively, Aaron Rodgers completed 19 passes for 199 yards and two touchdowns. Aaron Jones (145 yards on 15 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the ground attack. Marquez Valdes-Scantling (six receptions, 44 yards) and Davante Adams (four catches, 57 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 10, the Rams took care of this Seattle team by a score of 36-31. Russell Wilson completed 17-of-26 passes for 176 yards and three touchdowns. Rashaad Penny (108 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Mike Davis (58 yards on 11 carries) handled the running game as Tyler Lockett (five receptions, 67 yards, one TD) and Doug Baldwin (five catches, 39 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Green Bay has run the ball on 35.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Seattle has an overall rush percentage of 53.8 percent. The Packers have run for 116 yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Seahawks are logging 152 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

Judging by the numbers so far, it seems like the Packers could hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.5 to opponents. The Seahawks have ran for 4.8 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.0 to opponents.

The Packers offense has logged 311 yards per contest in the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Seahawks have put up 219 pass yards per contest and have 21 total pass scores.

Green Bay has allowed opponents to run for an average of 121 yards and pass for 250 yards per game. The Seattle defense has allowed 244.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Packers have given up an ANY/A of 6.26 to opposing QBs, while the Seahawks are allowing an ANY/A of 5.80.

Offensively, Rodgers is already up to 2,482 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 193-of-312 attempts with 15 passing scores and only one interception. Rodgers has a 7.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.92 over the last two outings.

Aaron Jones, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Davante Adams have combined for 499 total yards and five touchdowns over the last two outings.

On the other sideline, Russell Wilson has managed to complete 137-of-208 passes for 1,732 yards, 19 TDs and four INTs. Wilson’s ANY/A sits at 7.56 for the year and 5.45 over his last two games.

We’re looking for the Seahawks to control the game’s clock by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with QB Russell Wilson (zero receiving yards this season), Mike Davis (284 rush yards, three rush TDs, 65 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Rashaad Penny (243 rush yards, one rush TD) have been significant factors in the Seattle offense.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Green Bay got the victory over Seattle, 17-9.

RELATED: Week 11 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

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SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Packers, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Green Bay’s last game was set at 48.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-12 victory over Miami.

Green Bay has rushed for 6.1 yards per attempt across its past three games and 6.2 over its last two.

Seattle has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.5 over its last two.

Seattle has lost three fumbles this season while Green Bay has lost nine.

In its last three games, Green Bay is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Seattle’s previous match was set at 51. The over cashed in the 36-31 loss to the Rams.

Over its last three matches, Seattle is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Packers offense has tallied 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Seahawks have accounted for eight such plays.

The Green Bay defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Seattle has given up two such plays.

The Green Bay offense has created five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Seattle has created seven such runs.

The Packers defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Seahawks have given up seven such runs.

The Green Bay defense has sacked opposing QBs 31 times this season. Seattle has registered just 23 sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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