The Bowling Green Falcons (11-5, 3-0 MAC) will try to prolong their seven-game winning streak against the Ball State Cardinals (10-6, 1-2 MAC) at Stroh Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 15, 2019.
Ball State Cardinals vs. Bowling Green Falcons ATS Prediction
In the Cardinals’ last matchup, they were blown out by the Ohio Bobcats, 70-52. Ohio’s turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Ball State. The Bobcats had a rate of 15.8 (better than their season average of 19.2), while the Cardinals posted a mark of 24.1 (above their season average of 16.0). Ball State’s Zach Gunn put together a good performance, finishing with 10 points and five rebounds.
The Falcons defeated the Central Michigan Chippewas in their last game, 97-87. The Falcons had a turnover percentage of 10.1 (better than their season average of 15.6) and held the Chippewas to an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (below their season average of 34.3). Justin Turner was the top scorer from either team with 30 points on 10-for-22 shooting from the field.
After the Cardinals won the lone contest against the Falcons last season, 59-56, these teams will clash for the first time this year. Ball State’s 0.170 free throw rate was their largest advantage over Bowling Green, who had a rate of 0.047.
Antwon Lillard has averaged 11 points over the last five games for Bowling Green.
The offensive glass should be a huge advantage for Bowling Green in this meeting. The Falcons rank 35th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.9 percent), while Ball State ranks 222nd in defensive rebounding percentage (70.9 percent).
Ball State vs. Bowling Green Free Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Ball State, ATS Winner – Ball State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Ball State ranks 110th in three pointers allowed per game (21.9) while Bowling Green ranks 255th (27.4).
The Falcons average 44.6 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the NCAA. The Cardinals rank 100th in rebounds allowed per game (34.1).
Ball State ranks 75th in assists per game (14.9) while Bowling Green ranks 89th in assists allowed per game (12.4).
The Cardinals average 6.2 steals per game, which ranks 128th in the country. The Falcons rank 137th in steals allowed per game (7.0).
Ball State ranks 73rd in blocks per game (3.9) while Bowling Green ranks 79th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
Bettings Trends:
The Cardinals’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 16.2, up from 9.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Falcons have scored an average of 86.4 points per game (6.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 69.2 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
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