It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the Boise State Broncos (8-8, 3-0 MWC) welcome the No. 10 Nevada Wolf Pack (16-1, 3-1 MWC) to Taco Bell Arena. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 15, 2019.
Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos Free Prediction
In the Wolf Pack’s last game, they defeated the Fresno State Bulldogs, 74-64. The Wolf Pack had a turnover percentage of 8.7 (better than their season average of 12.3) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 38.6 (above their season average of 26.9). Jordan Caroline played a key role for Nevada with 19 points and 16 rebounds.
The Broncos won big over the San Jose State Spartans in their last outing, 87-64. The Broncos forced 18 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.636 (above their season average of 0.540). With 18 points, five rebounds and five assists, Boise State’s Alex Hobbs put together a solid game.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, this appears to be a balanced contest. The sharp-shooting Boise State offense ranks 59th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.547, while the top-notch Nevada defense is ranked 48th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.467). Ball security should be an advantage for the Wolf Pack. They rank 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.9 percent), while the Broncos force the 89th-fewest turnovers in the country (opponents’ turnover percentage of 17.9 percent).
After the Wolf Pack won both matchups against the Broncos last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last game, Nevada won 77-72. Nevada had a better free throw rate (0.241 vs. 0.157). Boise State, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.0 vs. 20.6).
Nevada Wolf Pack at Boise State Broncos ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Nevada, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Boise State averages 21.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 174th in the nation. Nevada ranks 217th in three pointers allowed per game (25.2).
Bettings Trends:
The Wolf Pack’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.0, down from 14.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Broncos have scored an average of 75.4 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 63.2 points per game (3.5 below their season average).
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