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Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Free Pick 09/22/18

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will play their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Baltimore (+255) as the underdog to New York (-305). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 9.5 runs and -110 for under 9.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (+125) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-145).

The Yankees are 94-59 straight up (SU) and 74-78 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 11.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.1 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Orioles are 44-109 SU and have gone 62-90 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 53.8 units for moneyline bettors and 41.6 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Yankees games have a 69-76-7 over/under record in 2018. The Orioles have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-79-5.

David Hess will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Hess is 3-10 with a 5.22 ERA and 65 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are handing the ball to righty Lance Lynn (9-10, 4.90 ERA), who has 153 strikeouts and 73 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.53. Lynn is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.87 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.51 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.76, along with a K-per-9 of 8.19.

Orioles hitters have slashed .239/.299/.391 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have paced Baltimore’s hitters. Jones is slashing .284/.314/.424 with 15 home runs, 60 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini is hitting .240 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.38 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 11.3 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.07 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.48.

New York’s offense is putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .233/.337/.459 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have led the Yankees’ batters this year. Andujar is slashing .295/.329/.520 with 25 home runs, 84 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Stanton’s line is .262/.338/.497 with 35 homers, 93 RBIs and 94 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 47.5 units and are 39-64 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 13.2 units and are 55-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 55 that went under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Yankees have won three of their last four games SU.

New York has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.0 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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