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Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview 09/28/18

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The streaking Milwaukee Brewers will go for their fifth consecutive victory as they play host to the Detroit Tigers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this interleague matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas has listed Milwaukee (-210) as the favorite over Detroit (+190). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Tigers +1.5 runs (-115) and Brewers -1.5 runs (-105).

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The Tigers are 64-95 SU and are 81-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.7 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 92-67 SU and 83-76 ATS. They’ve gained 19.5 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 75-80-4 in 2018. The Tigers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-82-8.

Jordan Zimmermann will get the start for Detroit. The right-handed Zimmermann is 7-8 with a 4.31 ERA and 107 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Brewers are preparing to start righty Zach Davies (2-7, 4.65 ERA), who has 46 strikeouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.34. Davies did not record a start against the Tigers in 2017.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.93, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .257/.367/.447 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is slashing .321/.395/.583 with 33 home runs, 104 RBIs, 112 runs and 21 steals, while Cain is hitting .310 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 87 runs and 30 steals.

For the visitors, Detroit’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.58 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a K/9 of 7.88.

Tigers hitters have slashed .242/.303/.380 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario have led Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is hitting .298/.353/.497 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 85 runs scored. Candelario is hitting .225/.317/.398 with 19 homers, 54 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

Detroit Tigers at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Detroit has logged six extra-base hits over its last five games. Milwaukee has 16 XBH over its last five.

The Tigers have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 18 over their last 10.

The Detroit defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to three errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.

The Tigers have lost three of their last four games SU while the Brewers have taken six of their last seven.

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Written by GMS Previews

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