The Fresno State Bulldogs (-12.5) and Nevada Wolf Pack will do battle on the turf of Clarence Mackay Stadium. The game will get underway at 10:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on ESPNU.
Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
Nevada is a big home underdog in this MWC game and is currently receiving 12.5 points. The Bulldogs are also receiving -525 moneyline odds while the Wolf Pack are +360. If one team can create a bunch of points early it will create a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 60 points.
Sharp bettors have been siding with both the Bulldogs and the under. The opening line was originally set at 11.5 and the O/U was initially 62.
The Bulldogs have gained 0.8 units so far and are 3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 1-2. The Wolf Pack are up 0.7 units this season. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Bulldogs have gone 3-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Wolf Pack are 3-2 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play.
The Bulldogs hope to keep things rolling after a 49-27 win over Toledo last weekTheir defense allowed the Rockets to run for 137 yards on 40 rush attempts. Jon’Vea Johnson had a productive day for the Rockets in that one with 112 yards and two touchdowns on six catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Marcus McMaryion completed 24-of-31 passes for 368 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Jordan Mims (59 yards on 15 rush attempts, one TD) and Josh Hokit (59 yards on seven carries) provided the ground attack while Mims (six receptions, 126 yards, one TD) and KeeSean Johnson (six catches, 102 yards, two TDs) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Nevada enters this one having just earned a 28-25 win over Air Force. The defense let the Falcons run for 154 yards on 51 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Kadin Remsberg was a bright spot in the loss, recording 71 rushing yards on 13 attempts for Air Force. For Nevada, Ty Gangi completed 24-of-33 passes for 259 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Toa Taua (76 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Kelton Moore (47 yards on 11 carries) handled the running game while Romeo Doubs (seven receptions, 40 yards) and Kaleb Fossum (five catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Fresno State has run the ball on 55.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Nevada has an overall rush percentage of 46.0 percent. The Bulldogs have rushed for 166 yards/game and have 13 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wolf Pack are logging 169 rushing yards per game and have 11 total rush TDs.
The Bulldogs offense has logged 274 yards/game through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Wolf Pack have put up 283 pass yards per contest and have 12 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Fresno State should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 123 yards and pass for 192 yards per game. The Nevada defense has given up 259.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 154.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bulldogs are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.74 to opponents, while the Wolf Pack have allowed a 7.14 ANY/A.
Offensively, McMaryion has amassed 780 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 66-of-89 attempts with six passing scores and two interceptions. He has a pristine 8.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.29 over the past two outings.
In the host locker room, Ty Gangi has completed 79-of-133 passes for 1,012 yards, 10 TDs and five INTs. Gangi’s ANY/A sits at 7.12 for the year and 6.94 over his past two outings.
When these two schools faced each other last year, Fresno State knocked Nevada off easily 41-21.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Pick: Fresno State Bulldogs at Nevada Wolf Pack
SU Winner – Fresno State, ATS Winner – Fresno State, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Nevada offense has lost four fumbles this season while Fresno State has let two get away.
The Nevada defense has recorded 15 sacks on the year while Fresno State has just eight.
Fresno State has rushed for 3.71052631578947 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 3.7 over its last two.
Nevada has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 6.4 over its last two.
In its last three contests, Nevada is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Fresno State was favored by 11 points in its previous game and the O/U going into it was 61.5. The over cashed and Fresno State covered in the 49-27 triumph over Toledo.
Over its last three matches, Fresno State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Nevada was favored by 4 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 62.5. The under cashed and Nevada failed to cover in that 28-25 victory over Air Force.
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