The San Antonio Spurs (0-2) clash with the Golden State Warriors (2-0) at AT&T Center in game three of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs. The game will air on TNT at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, April 19, 2018.
Golden State opened as a 3-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 206 points.
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
In game two, the Spurs lost 116-101, unable to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Aldridge scored a game-high 34 points and also added 12 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 217 points, which was 11.5 points above the projected point total of 205.5 points. Golden State’s 0.622 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over San Antonio, who had a mark of 0.435.
Golden State could struggle to create turnovers. San Antonio ranks seventh in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.0 percent), while Golden State forces the seventh-fewest turnovers (13.1 percent). Also, the Warriors’ second-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 112.9) will face off against the Spurs’ fourth-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 103.4).
Golden State has an outstanding 60-24 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 35-46-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Warriors games, with 42 overs compared to 41 unders.
Meanwhile, San Antonio owns records of 47-37 SU and 41-39-4 ATS. In opposition of Golden State, games involving the Spurs have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (51.2 percent).
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Golden State is 18-22-1 ATS on the road with 21 overs and 20 unders.
At home, San Antonio is 26-14-1 ATS with 21 unders and 20 overs.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Golden State is 16-5 and San Antonio is 32-10.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Warriors are 57-15 and the Spurs are 36-15.
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.2) while San Antonio ranks 23rd (10.2).
The Spurs rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (18.6).
San Antonio ranks ninth in second chance points per game (13.1) while Golden State ranks last (10.3).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.4) while the Spurs rank 19th (22.7).
San Antonio ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Golden State ranks last (8.8).
The Warriors rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while the Spurs rank 27th (24.1).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.4) while San Antonio ranks fourth (5.5).
The Spurs average 43.5 points in the paint per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (47.0).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push.
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs, 1 under and 1 push over their last five games.
The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, down from 6.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.2 points per game (8.0 above their season average).
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