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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview 09/27/18

Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros will pay a visit to Baltimore to play the Orioles at Oriole Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this AL showdown. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 46-112 straight up (SU) and 64-92 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 54.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 41.1 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 100-58 SU this year and are 82-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Orioles games have had an over/under record of 70-81-5 in 2018. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-79-8.

Gerrit Cole will get the start for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Cole is 15-5 with a 2.92 ERA and 272 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Orioles are sending righty David Hess (3-10, 5.14 ERA) to the mound. Hess has 70 punchouts and 35 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Hess did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.56 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .269/.338/.445 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have paced the Orioles’ hitters this year. Jones is slashing .281/.313/.419 with 15 home runs, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mancini’s line is .244/.302/.422 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.20 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.38 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.00, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.65.

The Astros offense has slashed .256/.333/.427 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Houston’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who’ve collectively launched 44 home runs. Bregman is hitting .289/.395/.538 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored. Altuve (.314/.385/.451) has produced 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.

The Astros have gained 4.8 units and are 53-44 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 49 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 49.5 units and are 40-65 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve cashed the under.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven contests.

Houston has recorded 22 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24 over its last five.

The Astros have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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