The Nevada Wolf Pack (+7) will clash with the Air Force Falcons (-7) at Falcon Stadium. ESNN has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 4:00 p.m. ET. When these two programs met last year, Air Force knocked Nevada off by a field goal 45-42.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
In this Saturday Mountain West game, Air Force is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Wolf Pack are also receiving +210 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -270. If one squad can get out in front in the early stages, it’ll probably result in a nice in-game betting opportunity.
The line initially opened at -8 but general public has been hammering the Wolf Pack.
The Wolf Pack have lost 1.0 unit so far in 2018 and are 1-3 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 2-1. The Falcons have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-0.
The Wolf Pack have gone 2-2 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Falcons are 1-2 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play.
The Wolf Pack fell to Toledo 63-44 in a blowout where Ty Gangi completed 29 passes for 320 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Toa Taua (170 rushing yards on 15 attempts, three TDs) and Kelton Moore (74 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Kaleb Fossum (14 receptions, 150 yards) and Daiyan Henley (four catches, 62 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Air Force just suffered a 42-32 defeat to Utah State. The defense allowed the Aggies to pass for 356 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 133 yards and four scores. Ron’Quavion Tarver had a solid outing for Utah State, accounting for 128 yards on nine catches. For Air Force, Isaiah Sanders completed nine-of-17 passes for 125 yards. Sanders (58 yards on 26 rush attempts, one TD) and Kadin Remsberg (94 yards on 17 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Marcus Bennett (five receptions, 74 yards) and Ronald Cleveland (four catches, 43 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Nevada has run the ball on 44.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Air Force has a rush percentage of 83.9 percent. The Wolf Pack have rushed for 167 yards/game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Falcons are putting up 288 rush yards per game and have nine total rushing TDs.
The Wolf Pack offense has averaged 289 yards in the air overall and has eight passing TDs so far. The Falcons have put up 114 pass yards per game and have just one pass scores.
Defensively, Nevada has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 154 yards and pass for 300 yards per game. The Air Force D has allowed 290.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 72.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wolf Pack are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.45 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have allowed an ugly 8.92 ANY/A.
Offensively, Gangi is up to 878 passing yards this season, and has completed 58 percent of his 115 attempts with five scores through the air and four interceptions. Gangi has a 6.59 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.45 over the last two outings.
Toa Taua (250 rushing yards, three rush TDs this season), Kaleb Fossum (345 receiving yards) and McLane Mannix (273 receiving yards, three TDs) have each played significant roles lately.
In the other huddle, Isaiah Sanders has completed 9-of-17 passes for 125 yards, zero TDs and zero INTs. Sanders’ ANY/A stands at 6.11 for the season and 7.61 over his last two outings.
As a group, Marcus Bennett, Ronald Cleveland and Kadin Remsberg have combined to account for 379 total yards the last couple of games.
Betting Prediction: Nevada Wolf Pack at Air Force Falcons
SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Nevada D has 13 sacks on the year while Air Force has just four.
Both teams have lost three fumbles this year.
The Wolf Pack offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Falcons have accounted for one such play.
The Nevada defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Air Force has given up four such plays.
The Nevada offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Air Force has created one such runs.
The Wolf Pack defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Falcons have given up two such runs.
Air Force was favored by 10 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 60.5. The over cashed and Air Force failed to cover in the team’s 42-32 loss to Utah State.
Over its last three matchups, Nevada is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Nevada was favored by 12 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 67.5. The over cashed and Nevada failed to cover in the 63-44 loss to Toledo.
As a team, Nevada has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last two contests.
Air Force has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last two.
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