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Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick 07/13/18

David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox are squaring off against the Kansas City Royals at Guaranteed Rate Field. WGN will be televising the action. The game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Odds

Vegas has listed Kansas City (+105) as the underdog to Chicago (-115). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over 9.5 runs and -125 for under 9.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -200 for the Royals +1.5 runs and +170 for the White Sox -1.5.

The White Sox are 46-46 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 31-61 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 19.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units (ATS). Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Royals have gone 26-66 SU this year and are 40-52 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 29.2 units for moneyline bettors and 19.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Chicago games have a 42-45-5 over/under record thus far in 2018. Kansas City has been a good under bet with a total record of 38-50-4.

The right-handed Brad Keller will get the nod for the visiting Royals. Keller is 2-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against Chicago this year.

The White Sox are putting the ball in the right hand of James Shields (3-10, 4.53 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who’s got 85 strikeouts and 47 walks this season. Shields is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.30 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 38 divisional games, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.30.

Chicago’s offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .194/.251/.303 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The White Sox batters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .253/.308/.438 with 12 home runs, 51 RBIs and 42 runs scored, and Sanchez is hitting .260 with five homers, 41 RBIs, 32 runs and nine stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.36 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.25 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.34, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 6.89.

The Royals offense has slashed .240/.302/.368 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Kansas City’s hitters. The speedy Merrifield is hitting .302/.373/.430 with five home runs, 29 RBIs, 39 runs and 16 steals, while Moustakas is hitting .256/.310/.480 with 19 homers, 58 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Royals have lost 30.9 units and are 22-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 16.4 units and are 35-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 35 that went under the total.

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of Kansas City’s last seven outings.

The Royals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Chicago has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.4 over its last five.

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