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Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Free Pick 07/10/18

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The streaking Boston Red Sox will go for their eighth straight win as they play host to the Texas Rangers at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network is in line to televise this AL showdown. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

The Red Sox are 63-29 straight up (SU) and 54-37 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 20.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.8 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rangers have gone 40-52 SU this year and are 44-47 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.4 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 44-44-3 so far in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 40-44-7.

Right-hander Yovani Gallardo will get the nod for the visiting Rangers. Gallardo is 3-0 with an 8.17 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 5.06 ERA and five strikeouts across 5.1 innings).

The Red Sox will turn to righty Hector Velazquez (6-0, 2.76 ERA) to the mound. Velazquez has 28 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Velazquez is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA against Texas this year.

As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.17, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.5.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.4 runs per outing, including 6.8 per game over its last 10 games and 8.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .344/.423/.530 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .331/.394/.654 with 28 home runs, 77 RBIs and 66 runs scored, while Benintendi is batting .296 with 14 homers, 55 RBIs, 66 runs and 16 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.26 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.72 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.58, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 8.45.

Rangers hitters have slashed .237/.321/.397 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara continue to lead Texas’ offense. Choo is slashing .293/.399/.504 with 17 home runs, 42 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Mazara is hitting .270/.333/.454 with 15 homers, 56 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Rangers have lost 3.5 units and are 29-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 24 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 21.1 units and are 43-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 32 which went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Texas has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 22 XBH over its last five.

The Rangers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 12 over their last 10.

Boston has recorded 28.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 33.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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