The Washington Nationals are set to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Vegas is listing Arizona (-120) as the favorite over Washington (+110). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for even money (+100). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Nationals +1.5 runs (-190) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+165).
The Nationals are 23-18 SU and have gone 21-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year, despite having gained 3.0 units ATS. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 24-15 SU and 20-18 ATS. They’ve gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS.
Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 16-20-2 so far in 2018. Washington has an over/under record of 17-21-2.
Jeremy Hellickson is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Hellickson is 1-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks are handing the ball to righty Zack Godley (4-2, 3.83 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 18 walks to his name, as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Godley is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.34, along with a K-per-9 of 9.58.
The Nationals offense has slashed .240/.333/.401 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led Washington’s hitters. Harper is slashing .237/.406/.533 with 12 home runs, 29 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Adams (.275/.394/.648) has produced 10 homers, 25 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Harper seemed to enjoy hitting righties on the road last year. Across 176 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .319/.438/.681 (compared to his total season line of .317/.411/.596).
For the home team, Arizona’s pitchers have yielded 3.3 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.57 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.33, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.1.
The Arizona hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .208/.271/.339 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ hitters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is slashing .296/.354/.641 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and eight stolen bases, and Peralta’s line is .300/.387/.515 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 19 runs.
The Nationals have gained 5.0 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 3.9 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in nine of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just two of Arizona’s last seven games.
The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
Washington has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.4 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit seven over their last 10.
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