The Orlando Magic (2-4) challenge the Sacramento Kings (4-3) at Amway Center. The game will air on NBC Sports – California at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Orlando opened as a 6-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 223 points.
Sacramento Kings at Orlando Magic ATS Prediction
In the Kings’ last game, they covered the 5-point spread against the Miami Heat, 123-113. The game’s total points (236) came in just under the O/U total of 236.5. Sacramento’s 10.0 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Miami, who had a rate of 15.1. The Kings’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5. Sacramento was lifted by Willie Cauley-Stein, who was the team’s leading scorer with 26 points on 11-for-17 shooting.
The Magic got blown out by the Milwaukee Bucks in their last matchup, 113-91. They failed to cover as 9-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (204) came in well under the projected point total of 220. One of Milwaukee’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 21-23 (91.3 percent), while the Magic were 15-17 (88.2 percent). With 16 points on 7-for-10 shooting, Nikola Vucevic led Orlando in scoring.
Sacramento holds records of 4-3 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total low when the Kings are involved, as four of their 6 games have ended over the total.
Meanwhile, Orlando owns records of 2-4 SU and 3-3 ATS. Unlike Sacramento, Magic games tend to go under the total (66.7 percent).
The Kings won both meetings against the Magic last season. In the most recent matchup, Sacramento won 94-88. Sacramento won the rebounding battle. The Kings had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. five), defensive rebounds (37 vs. 29) and total rebounds (50 vs. 34).
Sacramento Kings vs. Orlando Magic Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Sacramento is 19-7 when they allow under 100 points, while Orlando is 13-9.
The Magic are 25-33 when they reach 100 points, while the Kings are 20-24.
Sacramento ranks sixth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.3) while Orlando ranks 28th (48.3).
The Magic rank ninth in three pointers allowed per game (28.0) while the Kings rank 29th (31.8).
Orlando ranks 10th in assists per game (23.5) while Sacramento ranks 25th (21.8).
The Kings rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (44.1) while the Magic rank 29th (46.2).
Sacramento averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Orlando ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
The Magic rank 13th in fast break points per game (12.5) while the Kings rank 18th in fast break points allowed per game (12.6).
Orlando averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Sacramento ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
The Kings are 25th in the NBA with 11.4 second chance points per game while the Magic are 26th with 11.1 second chance points per game.
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