The Atlanta Braves will be squaring off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be showing the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers have listed New York (-155) as the favorite over Atlanta (+145). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 7.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -150 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +130 for the Mets -1.5.
The Braves have gone 17-11 SU this year and are 17-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 8.3 units for moneyline bettors through the early portions of the year and 7.3 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 17-10 SU and 15-11 ATS. The team has gained 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
New York games have a 14-11-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 13-11-3.
Sean Newcomb will get the start for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Newcomb is 1-1 with a 4.23 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets are sending righty Jacob deGrom (3-0, 2.06 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 48 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.04. deGrom is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over one starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.35 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.92, along with a WHIP of 1.31.
Braves hitters have slashed .273/.346/.439 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .318/.435/.561 with four home runs, 21 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Albies (.289/.336/.628) has produced nine homers, 20 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 3.29 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 15 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.91.
The New York offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.332/.387 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .337/.388/.567 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Frazier’s line is .266/.398/.447 with four homers, 17 RBIs and 17 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.351/.434, Cabrera seemed to have a little trouble hitting left-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .268/.288/.286 over 59 such plate appearances.
The Braves have gained 6.9 units and are 16-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have netted 3.5 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to four that went under.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Braves have won five of their last six games SU.
New York has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.2 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
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