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Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 06/12/18

Winslow Townson-USA TODAY Sports

The ice-cold Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their sixth consecutive game as they play host to the Boston Red Sox at Oriole Park. New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Boston (-165) is the favorite over Baltimore (+155) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds sit at -115 for betting the Red Sox -1.5 runs and -105 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are 19-46 SU and 24-40 ATS. The team’s lost 25.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.6 units against the spread (ATS). The Red Sox are 45-22 SU and have gone 36-30 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 10.8 units for moneyline bettors and 5.0 units ATS.

Baltimore games have a 26-36-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 31-33-2.

Eduardo Rodriguez is getting the start for the visiting Red Sox. The left-handed Rodriguez is 7-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 0.77 ERA against Baltimore this year (three starts).

The Orioles are sending righty David Hess (2-2, 3.07 ERA) to the mound. Hess has 16 punchouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Hess is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA against Boston this year.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.24, a WHIP of 1.52 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 30 games against AL East foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.76.

The Baltimore hitters have put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .179/.276/.291 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by Manny Machado, who is hitting .312/.380/.591 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.65 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.98, along with a WHIP of 1.21.

The Red Sox offense has slashed .262/.329/.457 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game this year, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

J.D. Martinez has led Boston’s offense and is hitting .311/.373/.643 with 21 home runs, 54 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

The Red Sox just took the previous game in this series by a final score of two runs to zero.

Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only one of Boston’s last seven games.

The Red Sox have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.

Boston has recorded 20.0 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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