The Boston Red Sox will be taking on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL showdown will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will broadcast the game.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-125) as the favorite over Boston (+115). The total sits at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 or the under for -115. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Red Sox +1.5 runs (-180) and Indians -1.5 runs (+160).
The Indians are 85-68 straight up (SU) and 72-80 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 23.1 units for moneyline bettors and 18.6 units (ATS). Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Red Sox have gone 105-49 SU this year and are 89-64 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 35.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 23.0 units ATS. Boston is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 72-71-9 in 2018. The Red Sox have an over/under record of 70-75-8.
Right-hander Rick Porcello will get the nod for Boston. Porcello is 17-7 with a 4.30 ERA and 187 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 6.43 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians will put the ball in the right hand of Mike Clevinger (12-8, 3.06 ERA, 1.17 WHIP), who has 196 strikeouts and 62 walks this season. Clevinger hasn’t faced the Red Sox yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with an 11.05 ERA.
Boston’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.60, along with a K/9 of 9.56.
Red Sox hitters have slashed .268/.340/.451 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts continue to lead Boston’s offense. Martinez is slashing .330/.401/.627 with 41 home runs, 124 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Betts is hitting .339 with 30 homers, 77 RBIs, 121 runs and 28 stolen bases.
For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .235/.345/.404 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley. Lindor is hitting .282/.355/.528 with 36 home runs, 87 RBIs, 124 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Brantley’s line is .308/.363/.473 with 17 homers, 74 RBIs and 85 runs.
The Red Sox have gained 34.6 units and are 70-47 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 14.5 units and are 54-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 54 of those games, as opposed to 53 that’ve cashed the under.
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Red Sox, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in four of Boston’s last seven games.
Boston has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.4 over its last five.
The Red Sox have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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