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Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros Free Pick 07/08/18

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago White Sox will be squaring off against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. NBC Sports Chicago will be airing this AL showdown and the first pitch will be at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-315) is favored over Chicago (+260) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +125 for the White Sox +1.5 runs and -145 for the Astros -1.5.

The White Sox have gone just 30-59 SU this year and are 44-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 18.1 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS. Chicago is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Astros, on the other hand, are 60-31 SU and 47-43 ATS. They’ve gained 5.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Astros games have an over/under record of 39-46-5 so far in 2018. Chicago has an over/under record of 40-43-5.

Lucas Giolito will get the start for the visiting White Sox. The right-handed Giolito is 5-7 with a 6.93 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 40.50 ERA against Houston this year.

The Astros are sending lefty Dallas Keuchel (5-8, 4.12 ERA) to the mound. Keuchel has 87 punchouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Keuchel is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Chicago this year.

As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.01, a WHIP of 1.06 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.64, a WHIP of 1.03 and a K/9 of 10.8.

Houston’s hitters have put up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .320/.431/.526 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that span.

Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman have paced the Astros’ offense this year. Altuve is hitting .339/.406/.482 with eight home runs, 43 RBIs, 60 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Bregman’s line sits at .284/.385/.523 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 59 runs and eight stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.41 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 6.35 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

White Sox hitters have slashed .243/.303/.403 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have paced Chicago’s offense. Abreu is hitting .259/.316/.450 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Sanchez (.258/.306/.413) has produced five homers, 41 RBIs, 32 runs and nine stolen bases.

The White Sox have lost 2.4 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Astros have netted 11.9 units and are 32-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.

Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – White Sox, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only one of Houston’s last seven games.

The White Sox have lost five of their last six games SU.

Houston has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.8 over its last five.

The White Sox have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.

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