The Cincinnati Reds will be squaring off against their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. The matchup will begin at 7:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be airing the game.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-175) is hosting this one as the favorite over Cincinnati (+165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Reds +1.5 runs (-135) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+115).
The Reds have gone 65-87 SU this year and are 86-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 7.2 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 86-66 SU and 78-73 ATS. They’ve gained 16.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.9 units ATS.
Brewers games have a 71-76-4 over/under record in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-70-5.
The right-handed Matt Harvey is projected to start for Cincinnati. Harvey is 7-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 18 strikeouts and a 5.52 ERA against Milwaukee this year (three starts).
The Brewers are putting the ball in the left hand of Gio Gonzalez (8-11, 4.44 ERA, 1.50 WHIP), who has 139 strikeouts and 75 walks. Gonzalez is 1-1 with 12 strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.93 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.61 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 69 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.72 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.90.
The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .231/.289/.450 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is hitting .317/.384/.568 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 102 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .308/.398/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 steals.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.19, along with a K/9 of 7.97.
The Reds offense has slashed .258/.334/.407 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Scooter Gennett and shortstop Jose Peraza. Gennett is slashing .316/.362/.495 with 22 home runs, 88 RBIs and 84 runs scored, while Peraza is slashing .292/.330/.423 with 13 homers, 56 RBIs, 83 runs and 23 stolen bases.
The Reds have gained 5.3 units and are 29-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 16.4 units and are 59-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 59 which went under the total.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in five of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
Cincinnati has posted 19.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.8 over its last five.
The Reds have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 12 over their last 10.
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