The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Cincinnati Reds at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Cincinnati (+170) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-180). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can wager on the over for +100 and the under for -120. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -130 for the Reds +1.5 runs and +110 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Reds are 55-69 SU and have gone 70-53 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 4.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having gained 4.6 units ATS. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 69-57 SU and 64-61 ATS. They’ve gained 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 2.3 units ATS.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 59-62-4 in 2018. The Reds have been a decent over bet with a total record of 64-55-4.
Right-hander Homer Bailey is projected to start for Cincinnati. Bailey is 1-10 with a 6.33 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.97 ERA), who has 104 strikeouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Anderson is 2-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.97 ERA over two starts against Cincinnati this year.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.79 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.1 K/9. In 49 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.43.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .234/.308/.383 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by Christian Yelich, who is slashing .310/.373/.518 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 14 steals.
In the other dugout, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 5.14 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.53 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.43.
The Reds offense has slashed .259/.338/.406 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Cincinnati’s hitters have been led by Scooter Gennett. Gennett is slashing .314/.363/.495 with 18 home runs, 72 RBIs and 73 runs scored.
The Reds just got an 11-4 victory over the Giants, while the Brewers are coming off of a 2-1 win against the Cardinals.
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Reds have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Milwaukee has averaged 23.1 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
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