The Golden State Warriors (1-0) square off with the Cleveland Cavaliers (0-1) at ORACLE Arena in game two of the NBA Finals. The game can be seen on ABC at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, June 3, 2018.
Golden State opened as an 11.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215.5 points.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
In game one, the Cavaliers lost 124-114 but covered as 13-point underdogs. James scored a game-high 51 points and also recorded eight rebounds and eight assists. The game finished with a total of 238 points, which was 20 points above the projected point total of 218 points. The Warriors had a better turnover percentage (6.6 vs. 9.2) and had a better free throw rate (0.211 vs. 0.162).
The prolific offense of Golden State (first in the league with an offensive efficiency of 112.5) will clash against the bottom-tier defense of Cleveland (28th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 109.7). The Warriors should have the edge on that end of the court.
Cleveland is 62-39 straight up (SU), but they struggle covering the spread (41-58-2 against the spread (ATS)). Just over half of the Cavaliers’ games have finished under the total.
Golden State has a phenomenal 71-29 SU record, but they are just 42-55-3 ATS. Games including the Warriors also have gone under the total 52.0 percent of the time.
In the playoffs, the Cavaliers are 13-8 ATS with 11 unders, nine overs and one push while the Warriors are 14-10 with 14 unders, nine overs and one push
Draymond Green has averaged 13.6 rebounds, 9.4 points, 6.4 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.6 blocks over the last five games for Golden State.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Cavaliers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Cleveland is 24-26-1 ATS with 26 overs and 25 unders.
Golden State is 20-29-2 ATS at home with 26 unders, 24 overs and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Cleveland is 22-6 and Golden State is 22-7.
When scoring over 100 points, the Cavaliers are 58-19 and the Warriors are 67-17.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.7) while Cleveland ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (25.1).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (3.9).
Golden State ranks eighth in steals per game (8.1) while Cleveland ranks 26th (6.9).
The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while the Cavaliers rank 21st (15.7).
Golden State averages 29.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 15th in the league. Cleveland ranks 28th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (18.9) while the Cavaliers rank 14th (11.9).
Golden State ranks 13th in rebounds per game (43.9) while Cleveland ranks 25th (41.9).
The Cavaliers rank 14th in second chance points allowed per game (12.7) while the Warriors rank 25th (13.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Cleveland is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Cavaliers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 0.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (7.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.0 points per game (9.3 below their season average).
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