The Texas State Bobcats (12-2, 1-0 SBC) will try to continue their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Georgia State Panthers (10-4, 1-0 SBC) at Strahan Coliseum. The game begins at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 5, 2019.
Georgia State Panthers at Texas State Bobcats Free Prediction
The last time the Panthers played, they defeated the East Tennessee State Buccaneers, 74-68. One of Georgia State’s largest strengths was getting to the free throw line. They made 29 trips to the line, 11 more than East Tennessee State. With 26 points on 7-for-14 shooting, Jeff Thomas was the top scorer from either team.
The Bobcats beat the Air Force Falcons in their last contest, 67-57. Texas State’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Air Force. The Bobcats had a rate of 14.5, while the Falcons posted a mark of 24.4. Nijal Pearson was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 9-for-15 shooting from the field.
After the Panthers won both meetings against the Bobcats last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the last contest, Georgia State won 77-50. The Panthers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.579 vs. 0.354) and had a better turnover percentage (12.5 vs. 15.2).
D’Marcus Simonds has averaged 0 points over the last five games for Georgia State.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Texas State. Texas State ranks 270th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.6 percent), while the disruptive defense of Georgia State forces the 45th-most turnovers in the nation (22.8 percent). Additionally, the Panthers’ 59th-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.550) will battle against the Bobcats’ 13th-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.432).
Georgia State at Texas State Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Texas State ranks 33rd in rebounds allowed per game (31.2) while Georgia State ranks 228th (38.5).
The Bobcats rank 59th in three pointers allowed per game (20.4) while the Panthers rank 241st (26.8).
Texas State averages 17.4 assists per game, which ranks 20th in the country. Georgia State ranks 193rd in assists allowed per game (15.1).
The Panthers rank 27th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Bobcats rank 138th (2.6).
Georgia State ranks 15th in steals per game (9.0) while Texas State ranks 117th in steals allowed per game (6.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Panthers have been outscored by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Georgia State has defeated opponents by an average of 3.9 points.
During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 55.2 points per game (5.3 below their season average).
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