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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Free Preview 07/28/18

Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers at AT&T Park. This NL matchup will get underway at 9:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the game.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Odds

Milwaukee (+110) is entering this one as the underdog to San Francisco (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Brewers +1.5 runs (-190) and Giants -1.5 runs (+165).

The Giants are 52-51 straight up (SU) and 58-46 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 5.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers have gone 58-46 SU this year and are 54-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.1 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have a 48-53-3 over/under record in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 47-55-3.

Jhoulys Chacin will get the nod for the visiting Brewers. The right-handed Chacin (9-3, 3.58 ERA) has recorded 97 strikeouts in 120.2 innings so far. He has yet to face San Francisco this year, but he did make six starts against the Giants in 2017, putting together a 3-1 record against them with a 2.60 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

The Giants are sending righty Johnny Cueto (3-1, 2.76 ERA) to the mound. Cueto has 38 punchouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a 1.04 WHIP. Cueto only made one start against the Brewers in 2017 (0-0, 3.60 ERA and four strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitching staff has allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.22, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .221/.254/.354 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ batters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and outfielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .284/.354/.447 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while McCutchen is batting .257 with 10 homers, 42 RBIs, 51 runs and nine stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.31, along with a K/9 of 10.14.

The Brewers offense has slashed .244/.317/.406 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to drive in 80 runs. Yelich is hitting .310/.377/.500 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 stolen bases. Cain is slashing .296/.395/.421 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 52 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 10.9 units and are 44-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 7.5 units and are 37-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Milwaukee has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Francisco has 13 XBH over its last five.

Each team has hit seven home runs over its last 10 games.

Milwaukee has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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