The Boston Red Sox are playing host to the New York Mets at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network is in line to televise this interleague showdown and the game gets underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Boston Red Sox Odds
New York (+180) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-190) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -125 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +105 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 102-47 straight up (SU) and 86-62 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 34.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 69-79 SU and have gone 73-73 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 10.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have a 68-73-7 over/under record in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-73-8.
The right-handed Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for New York. deGrom is 8-9 with a 1.71 ERA and 239 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox will send lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 1.96 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 221 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a 0.85 WHIP. Sale did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.
Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Boston’s offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .222/.304/.340 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Martinez is hitting .328/.398/.628 with 41 home runs, 122 RBIs and 106 runs scored, while Betts is batting .338 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 118 runs and 28 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.69 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.94, along with a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.48.
The Mets offense has slashed .236/.314/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto have paced New York’s offense. Rosario is slashing .257/.297/.392 with nine home runs, 47 RBIs, 70 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Conforto (.237/.341/.431) has produced 25 homers, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 6.1 units and are 19-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 32.2 units and are 68-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 56 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
Boston has recorded 21.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.
The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.
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