The Philadelphia Phillies will take on their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Southeast will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:35 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds
Philadelphia (-110) is entering this game as the favorite against Atlanta (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Phillies -1.5 runs (+135) and Braves 1.5 runs (-155).
The Phillies have gone 9-6 SU this year and are 5-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season, despite having lost 6.8 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 9-6 SU and 11-4 ATS. The team has gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.0 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Braves games have a 5-7-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 7-7-1.
Nick Pivetta (1-0, 2.70 ERA) will get the start for Philadelphia. The right-handed Pivetta struck out 140 hitters in 133 innings last year (26 starts) but finished the season 8-10 overall with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP. He made three starts against Atlanta in 2017 and put together a 3-0 record against the Braves with a 2.12 ERA and 13 strikeouts.
The Braves are going with righty Mike Foltynewicz (1-1, 2.93 ERA) as their starter. Foltynewicz struck out 143 hitters over 153 innings last year with 59 walks. Foltynewicz finished the season 10-13 overall with a 4.79 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Philadelphia a year ago and registered a 1-1 record with a 3.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts.
As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 3.68 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.73, a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.3. In 10 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.47.
The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.6 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .260/.350/.420 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies have led the charge for the Braves’ batters so far. Freeman is slashing .308/.486/.538 with 16 hits, 12 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and the line for Albies stands at .328/.348/.701 with five homers, 11 RBIs and 16 runs.
Freeman enjoyed batting against right-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .362/.475/.638 across 160 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).
In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.39 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.54, along with a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 8.44.
The Phillies offense has slashed .228/.324/.390 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Philadelphia’s offensive production been led by outfielders Rhys Hoskins and Odubel Herrera. Hoskins is hitting .341/.508/.614 with 15 hits, 11 RBIs and 10 runs scored, while Herrera (.340/.397/.491) has produced 18 hits, four RBIs and nine runs scored.
The Phillies have lost 2.1 units and are 2-9 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.7 units and are 10-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.
Atlanta has posted 20.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 10 over their last 10.
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