The Philadelphia Phillies will play their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-175) is hosting this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -135 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +115 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Phillies are 68-58 SU and are 61-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 12.1 units ATS. Philadelphia is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 64-63 SU and 61-65 ATS. The team’s lost 24.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.5 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 55-68-3 in 2018. Philadelphia has also been a good under bet with a total record of 54-66-5.
Right-hander Aaron Nola is projected to start for Philadelphia. Nola (14-3, 2.24 ERA) has recorded 160 strikeouts in 161 innings so far. He’s 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.98 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).
The Nationals are handing the ball to righty Max Scherzer (16-5, 2.11 ERA), who has 234 strikeouts and 41 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.89. Scherzer is 0-0 with 15 strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.96, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 54 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.34.
The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .302/.349/.525 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is hitting .268/.335/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 32 steals, and Rendon’s line is .292/.354/.500 with 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 58 runs.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.79 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.27.
The Phillies offense has slashed .237/.317/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .257/.363/.366 with 11 home runs, 40 RBIs, 79 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Herrera is hitting .265/.319/.437 with 19 homers, 62 RBIs and 54 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 8.8 units and are 47-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 52 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 5.9 units and are 48-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 39 of those games, as opposed to 50 which went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in just one of Washington’s last seven games.
The Philadelphia defense has allowed 15 errors over the last 10 games, compared to seven errors for Washington over its last 10.
Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
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