In the last of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (43-42) and the New York Mets (43-42) at AT&T Park, Jake Peavy (0-3, 6.43 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (8-6, 2.30 ERA) get the start. The Giants won the last game 3-0 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 3:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jul. 8 and will air on SNY, CSN-BAY and MLB Network.
Peavy is 6-3 with a 3.45 ERA against the Mets in his career, and faces a struggling New York offense that’s hitting just .232 on the year. Matt Duffy (.287, 31 Rs, 8 HRs, 37 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. In his pitching opportunities against the Giants, deGrom is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA, seven strikeouts and one walk. Curtis Granderson (.251, 43 Rs, 13 HRs, 29 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
San Francisco is a small -101 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is six runs. When playing as the underdog, the Giants have a 22-18 record and overall money line at -445. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-5. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.4 strikeouts per home game.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .717 when playing as the favorite (33-13) and an overall money line of +124. The Mets are a problem for opposing batters, sporting a 3.71 ERA on the road this season. They have a WHIP of 1.19 on the year, good for second in the league.
In their previous five games this season, the Giants have a 3-2 record. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have a 31-34 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Peavy will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 36-34 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
New York recorded at least two errors for the 10th time this season.
When the Mets play into extra innings, they have a 4-2 record. The Giants are 3-2 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored zero runs in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Giants have a 13-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 38-8. The Mets have a 29-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 293 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top half at 14th with 349.
San Francisco and New York both rank in the bottom half of the league in walks. San Francisco sits at 17th with 234 this season and New York ranks 19th with 226.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 29-17, well-matched with the Mets who are 25-14 when hitting one or more homers.
