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Stanford Cardinal vs. California Golden Bears – 11/17/2018 ATS Pick

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The Stanford Cardinal (-2) aren’t traveling far to battle their in-conference foe California Golden Bears at California Memorial Stadium. The matchup is scheduled to commence at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to the action on Pac-12 Networks.

Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears Betting Preview

In this Saturday Pac-12 matchup, Stanford is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 2 points. The Cardinal are also receiving -130 moneyline odds while the Golden Bears are +110. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 45 points. There should be some good live betting possibilities for this game.

The game’s total has swung lower after initially being set at 45.5. The opening line (2) has yet to change.

The Cardinal are down 1.3 units so far and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-3. The Golden Bears have gained 1.9 units this season. The team is 5-4-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 1-8.

The Cardinal are 6-4 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Bears are 6-4 SU overall and are also 3-4 SU in conference play.

The Cardinal are coming off a resounding 48-17 victory over Oregon State last week. K.J. Costello completed 23-of-33 passes for 342 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Bryce Love (90 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Trenton Irwin (six receptions, 70 yards) and Colby Parkinson (six catches, 166 yards, four TDs) shared the receiving duties.

The California Golden Bears just earned a 15-14 win over USC. The team’s allowed the Trojans to pass for 180 yards and rush for 97 more. Aca’Cedric Ware was a bright spot in the loss for USC, posting 103 rushing yards on 16 attempts. For California, Chase Garbers completed 14-of-26 passes for 93 yards and one touchdown. Patrick Laird (71 rushing yards on 19 attempts) led the ground game in the win while Laird (five receptions, 18 yards) and Jeremiah Hawkins (three catches, 11 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Stanford has run the ball on 45.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while California has an overall rush percentage of 54.2 percent. The Cardinal have produced 108 rush yards/game (including 120 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 12 scores via handoffs this year. The Golden Bears are averaging 170 rushing yards per game (165 in conference) and have 12 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Golden Bears should own an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has produced 4.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Cardinal have registered 3.8 yards per carry while allowing 4.1 YPC to opponents.

The Cardinal offensive scheme has averaged 286 yards through the air overall (306 per game versus conference opposition) and has 23 passing scores so far. The Golden Bears have recorded 194 pass yards per game (191.0 against Pac-12 foes) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Stanford has allowed 147 rush yards and 263 pass yards per game. The California defense has allowed 183.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 134.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.81 to opposing QBs, while the Cardinal have given up a 6.26 ANY/A.

Offensively, Costello is up to 2,507 passing yards this season, and has connected on 193-of-287 attempts with 21 passing scores and seven interceptions. He has a sparkling 8.32 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.05 over the last two games.

Chase Garbers has managed to complete 96-of-150 passes for 973 yards, 10 TDs and four INTs for California. His ANY/A sits at 5.80 for the year and 3.55 over his last two games.

When these two schools met last year, Stanford won by a field goal 17-14.

RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Stanford Cardinal at California Golden Bears

SU Winner – Stanford, ATS Winner – Stanford, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes

California has lost 10 fumbles this season while Stanford has lost three.

The Stanford D has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this season. California has recorded 23 sacks.

As a team, Stanford has produced 5.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.1 over its last two.

California has averaged 3.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.3 over its past two.

Over its last three matchups, California is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Stanford’s last game was 61.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-17 victory over Oregon State.

Over its last three matches, Stanford is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for California’s last match was 45. The under cashed in the team’s 15-14 victory over USC.

California has won four of its last five games SU, with a -6-point defeat to Washington State on November 3rd accounting for the one loss over that stretch.

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Written by GMS Previews

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