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Week 4 Free Betting Pick: Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills and Green Bay Packers are ready to do battle on the grass at Lambeau Field. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and kickoff is pegged for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, Green Bay has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 10 points. The Bills are also receiving +325 moneyline odds while the Packers are -475. Should one squad gets out in front early it’ll result in a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 44 points.

Early action has leaned in the direction of the Bills, as the opening line was -11. The game’s over/under has yet to change after being initially posted at 44.

The Bills are 1-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-1. The Packers are down 0.3 units this season. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-0.

The Bills are 1-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Packers are 1-1-1 SU.

The Bills want to make it two in a row 27-6 win over Minnesota in Week 3 where their defense let the Vikings air it out for 296 yards. Adam Thielen had a good day for the Vikings in that one with 105 yards on 14 catches. On the offense, Josh Allen completed 15 passes for 196 yards and one touchdown. Chris Ivory (56 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Allen (39 yards on 10 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack. Ivory (three receptions, 70 yards) and Kelvin Benjamin (three catches, 29 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 3, Washington knocked off this Green Bay team by a score of 31-17. The Packers defense allowed the Redskins to eat up the clock by rushing for 166 yards on 35 attempts, including two rush TDs. Adrian Peterson had a productive showing, recording 120 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts for Washington. For Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers completed 27-of-44 passes for 265 yards and two touchdowns. Aaron Jones (42 rushing yards on six attempts) mounted the running game while Davante Adams (seven receptions, 52 yards, one TD) and Ty Montgomery (six catches, 48 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Buffalo has run the ball on 48.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has an overall rush percentage of 32.2 percent. The Bills have produced 98 rush yards/game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Packers are putting up 89 rushing yards per game and have yet to record a rush TD.

The Bills offensive scheme has averaged 180 yards in the air overall and has two passing TDs so far. The Packers have recorded 296 pass yards per outing and have six total pass score.

Buffalo has allowed opponents to run for an average of 80 yards and pass for 271 yards per game. The Green Bay D has allowed 272.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 124.3 yards per game on the ground. The Bills are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.76 to opponents, while the Packers have allowed a 7.50 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Allen is up to 270 yards this year. He’s connected on 57 percent of his 37 attempts with one passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 5.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.13 over the last two outings.

In the other huddle, Aaron Rodgers has managed to complete 47-of-74 passes for 551 yards, five TDs and zero INTs. Rodgers’ ANY/A stands at 7.59 for the season and 5.88 over his last two outings.

Free NFL Tip: Buffalo Bills vs. Green Bay Packers

SU Winner – Packers, ATS Winner – Packers, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

The Buffalo defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks eight times this year. Green Bay has registered six sacks.

Green Bay has lost two fumbles in 2018 while the Buffalo offense has yet to lose any.

The Bills offense has tallied two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Packers have accounted for three such plays.

The Buffalo defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Green Bay has given up three such plays.

The Buffalo offense has created one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while Green Bay has created zero such run.

The Bills defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Packers have given up one such run.

As a team, Buffalo has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last two matchups.

Green Bay has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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