The Miami Marlins will be taking on their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The matchup will get underway at 3:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to SportsNet New York to catch the action.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
The Mets are 80-79 against the spread (ATS), but only 76-85 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 10.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.3 units (ATS). The Marlins are 63-97 SU and have gone 82-77 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.4 units ATS.
Mets games have a 70-80-9 over/under record in 2018. The Marlins have been a decent over bet with a total record of 80-74-5.
The right-handed Sandy Alcantara is projected to start for the visiting Marlins. Alcantara (2-2, 4.00 ERA) has racked up 20 strikeouts in 27 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Noah Syndergaard (12-4, 3.22 ERA, 1.25 WHIP), who’s got 149 strikeouts and 39 walks. Syndergaard is 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
Miami’s pitching staff allowed 5.0 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.62 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.35, along with a K/9 of 7.97.
The Marlins offense has slashed .238/.305/.358 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is slashing .279/.330/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.273/.357/.400) is up to 11 homers, 65 RBIs and 87 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.58, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 75 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.35 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.92.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .201/.318/.317 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .258/.297/.383 with nine home runs, 51 RBIs, 76 runs and 24 stolen bases, while Conforto’s line is .244/.351/.450 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 78 runs.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
Miami has tallied 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 11 XBH over its last five.
The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
Miami has posted 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.
The Marlins have hit five home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit six over their last 10.
