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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Preview 09/30/18

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will look to avoid losing their fourth in a row as they play host to the Houston Astros at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 3:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 46-115 straight up (SU) and 66-93 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 53.6 units for moneyline bettors and 39.5 units (ATS). The Astros are 103-58 SU and have gone 82-77 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 2.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.3 units ATS.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 72-82-5 in 2018. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-81-8.

Right-hander Charlie Morton is projected to start for Houston. Morton is 15-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 197 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are sending righty Jimmy Yacabonis (0-2, 6.00 ERA) to the mound. Yacabonis has 32 punchouts and 16 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.53. Yacabonis hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.51 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .224/.304/.345 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have paced the Orioles’ batters this year. Jones is hitting .283/.315/.422 with 15 home runs, 63 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mancini is hitting .240 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.17 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.00, along with a K-per-9 of 10.55.

The Astros offense has slashed .256/.332/.427 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Houston’s offense has been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who’ve collectively blasted 44 home runs. Bregman is hitting .287/.395/.534 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 105 runs scored. Altuve (.314/.384/.449) is up to 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Houston has logged 10 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Baltimore has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Astros have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 10 over their last 10.

Houston has recorded 22.2 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.0 over its last five.

The Astros have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Orioles have dropped five of their last six.

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Written by GMS Previews

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