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Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 05/09/18

David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Fox Sports Southeast is in line to televise this interleague matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Braves have gone 20-14 SU this year and are 20-13 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 7.3 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 15-18 SU and 18-14 ATS. The team has lost 1.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.5 units ATS.

Rays games have an over/under record of 17-13-2 so far in 2018. Braves games have gone over 16 times, gone under 14 times and pushed on three instances.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.64 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.90 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.68, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.44.

The Braves offense has slashed .270/.340/.441 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis, who collectively have launched 11 home runs. Freeman is slashing .308/.417/.531 with five home runs, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Markakis (.333/.417/.533) has produced six homers, 25 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.88 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.49 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

Tampa Bay’s hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .230/.337/.311 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Rays’ batters have been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is hitting .291/.440/.481 with 23 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while the line for Ramos stands at .316/.369/.495 with four homers, 16 RBIs and 10 runs.

Ramos didn’t seem to enjoy batting against righty pitching at home last season. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .250/.261/.324 (a drop from his overall season line of .260/.290/.447).

The Rays have lost 3.4 units and are 9-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Atlanta Braves vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has recorded 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.

Each team has hit 13 home runs over its last 10 games.

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