The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The action will get going at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Tampa Bay (-110) as the favorite over Baltimore (+100). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 8.5 runs and -125 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -210 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +175 for the Rays -1.5.
The Orioles have gone just 17-35 SU this year and are 20-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 24-26 SU and 24-25 ATS. They’ve lost 2.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS.
Rays games have an over/under record of 24-23-2 so far in 2018. The Orioles have an over/under record of 23-26-2.
The right-handed Kevin Gausman will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.48 ERA and 58 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA against Tampa Bay this year (three starts).
The Rays are going with righty Sergio Romo (1-1, 4.66 ERA), who has 27 punchouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.50. Romo is 1-1 with three strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Baltimore this year.
Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.42 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 7.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a WHIP of 1.57.
Orioles hitters have slashed .232/.295/.392 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have paced Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .327/.399/.619 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Jones has a .274 average with nine homers, 25 RBIs and 24 runs scored.
Machado did not do as well hitting against righties on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .227/.264/.387 across 254 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .260/.311/.473).
For the home team, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.15 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.4 K/9. In 26 games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The Tampa Bay hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.343/.340 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman C.J. Cron and catcher Wilson Ramos have led the Rays’ hitters so far. Cron is slashing .270/.326/.485 with 11 home runs, 30 RBIs and 29 runs scored, and Ramos has put up a line of .305/.344/.464 with six homers, 25 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .248/.305/.437, Cron seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers at home in 2017, slashing .294/.371/.492 over 143 such plate appearances.
The Orioles have lost 12.4 units and are 13-20 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 5.0 units and are 13-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 13 which went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of Baltimore’s last seven games.
Baltimore has recorded 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 10 over their last 10.
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