Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 05/27/18

The Minnesota Twins will play the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup and the game gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Seattle (+100) as the underdog to Minnesota (-110). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8 runs and -110 for under 8. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +135 for the Twins -1.5 runs and -155 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Twins have gone 21-26 SU this year and are 27-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 6.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 31-20 SU and 28-22 ATS. The team has gained 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 27-23 so far in 2018. Twins games have gone under 23 times, gone over 22 times and pushed on one occasion.

Jose Berrios is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Berrios is 5-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 59 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will turn to righty Mike Leake (4-3, 5.46 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.46. Leake is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.45, along with a K-per-9 of 9.26.

Twins hitters have slashed .238/.312/.392 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Minnesota’s offense has been powered by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who collectively have belted 16 home runs. Rosario is hitting .292/.314/.524 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Escobar has a .269 average with seven homers, 22 RBIs and 25 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .235/.282/.380 across 195 plate appearances, Rosario seemed to take a step back when hitting right-handed pitching on the road last year (compared to his total season line of .290/.328/.507).

In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.28, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.57 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.1 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .220/.288/.310 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ batters this year. Segura is hitting .324/.341/.465 with four home runs, 34 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .304/.330/.386 with 56 hits, 13 RBIs, 25 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Twins have lost 5.3 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 9.1 units and are 19-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 20 of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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