The Brooklyn Nets (2-2) and the New Orleans Pelicans (3-0), who both like to play fast, will battle at Smoothie King Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, October 26, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
New Orleans is a 9.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 237 points.
Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans ATS Prediction
The Nets will be looking for a similar result after defeating the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game, 102-86, as 2.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (188) finished well under the projected point total of 225.5. Brooklyn’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Cleveland. The Nets had a rate of 0.517 (below their season average of 0.553), while the Cavaliers posted a mark of 0.399 (below their season average of 0.496). Brooklyn was lifted by D’Angelo Russell, who was the game’s leading scorer with 18 points on 5-for-14 shooting.
In the Pelicans’ last matchup, they were victorious over the Los Angeles Clippers, 116-109, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (225) were under the projected point total of 237.5. The Pelicans had a much better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 13.9) and had a better free throw rate (0.323 vs. 0.253). Anthony Davis was the top scorer from either team with 34 points on 11-for-21 shooting.
There could be plenty of transition offense in this meeting that features two of the league’s more up-and-down teams. New Orleans ranks second in possessions per game (103.5) and Brooklyn is fifth (101.3) dating back to the 2017-18 season.
The Nets are 30-56 straight up (SU) and 42-42-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring Brooklyn since last year in regards to the projected point total as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
The Pelicans, on the other hand, have records of 51-34 SU and 41-42-2 ATS since last season. New Orleans’ games have gone under the O/U total 52.9 percent of the time over that same period.
The Pelicans won both matchups against the Nets last season. In the most recent game, New Orleans won 138-128. One of New Orleans’ largest advantages was getting to the charity stripe. They had 39 free throw attempts, while Brooklyn had just 22.
Brooklyn Nets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
New Orleans is 13-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Brooklyn is 14-1.
The Nets are 26-37 when they reach 100 points, while the Pelicans are 52-25.
Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.5) while New Orleans ranks 26th (30.7).
The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (53.2) while the Nets rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.4).
New Orleans averages 5.8 blocks per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
The Pelicans rank seventh in rebounds per game (44.7) while the Nets rank last in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).
New Orleans ranks eighth in steals per game (8.0) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (6.2).
The Pelicans rank third in fast break points per game (15.7) while the Nets rank 21st (10.6).
Brooklyn ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (21.6) while New Orleans ranks 21st (23.8).
The Nets rank 14th in second chance points per game (12.5) while the Pelicans rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
New Orleans ranks 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while Brooklyn ranks last (14.1).
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