The Cleveland Indians will be squaring off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. SportsTime Ohio is in line to broadcast this AL matchup and the game gets going at 7:07 p.m. ET.
Cleveland Indians at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Vegas is listing Toronto (+175) as the underdog to Cleveland (-185). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +100 for over nine runs and -120 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Indians -1.5 runs (-130) and Blue Jays +1.5 runs (+110).
The Indians have gone 80-60 SU this year and are 67-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 13.7 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 63-77 SU and 58-81 ATS. The team’s lost 11.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 34.4 units ATS.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 72-59-8 in 2018. Cleveland has an over/under record of 67-65-7.
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco is the projected starter for the visiting Indians. Carrasco (16-8, 3.52 ERA) has recorded 187 strikeouts in 161 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 10.13 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are sending righty Marco Estrada (7-11, 5.43 ERA) to the mound. Estrada has 90 punchouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.41 WHIP. Estrada has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.64 ERA and three strikeouts across 4.2 innings).
As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.26 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.39 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
Toronto’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .256/.337/.396 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
First baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the charge for the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Smoak is slashing .249/.356/.469 with 23 home runs, 71 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .246/.275/.406 with 11 homers, 51 RBIs, 54 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.40 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.56 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.68, along with a WHIP of 1.14 and a K-per-9 of 9.07.
The Indians offense has slashed .258/.331/.436 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Cleveland’s offense has been powered by shortstop Francisco Lindor and left fielder Michael Brantley, who have combined to belt 47 home runs. Lindor is hitting .288/.362/.535 with 33 home runs, 84 RBIs, 117 runs and 22 stolen bases. Brantley is slashing .303/.356/.463 with 14 homers, 70 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Indians have lost 13.6 units and are 50-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.3 units and are 40-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 49 of those games, compared to 40 that went under.
Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.
Cleveland has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.2 over its last five.
The Indians have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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