The Denver Pioneers (7-14, 2-5 Summit) will attempt to end their five-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (12-10, 4-3 Summit) at Hilliard Gates Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 26, 2019.
Denver Pioneers vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons ATS Prediction
The last time the Pioneers played, they topped the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles, 74-58. Converting at the free throw line was one of Denver’s biggest advantages. They were 20-24 (83.3 percent), while the Golden Eagles were just 7-10 (70.0 percent). With 21 points on 8-for-14 shooting, Joe Rosga was the top scorer from either team.
The Mastodons fell to the Omaha Mavericks in their last contest, 85-79. Omaha’s 27.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Purdue Fort Wayne, who had a mark of 20.0. The Mavericks’ mark was above their season average of 23.5, while the Mastodons’ was below their season average of 26.3. With 15 points and nine assists, John Konchar had a solid game for Purdue Fort Wayne.
The elite offense of Purdue Fort Wayne (10th in the nation with an effective field goal percentage 0.569) will battle against the bottom-tier defense of Denver (339th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.556). The Mastodons should have the edge on that end of the court. Additionally, the Pioneers, who rank 289th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.196), could struggle to get to the line against the Mastodons, who rank 34th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.179).
After the Mastodons won both meetings against the Pioneers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Purdue Fort Wayne won 91-63. The Mastodons had a much better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 26.9) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.631 vs. 0.530).
Denver Pioneers vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Pick
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Purdue Fort Wayne, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Purdue Fort Wayne ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (28.9) while Denver ranks 229th in three pointers allowed per game (25.3).
The Mastodons rank 37th in assists per game (16.1) while the Pioneers rank 180th (12.5).
Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 49th in steals per game (7.6) while Denver ranks 185th (5.1).
The Mastodons rank 46th in blocks per game (4.3) while the Pioneers rank 146th (2.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Pioneers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 7.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mastodons have scored an average of 81.6 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 83.2 points per game (8.2 above their season average).
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