The Detroit Tigers will play their divisional rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The matchup will get underway at 6:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will televise the game.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Detroit (+240) is coming into this one as the underdog to Cleveland (-280) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at +115 for the Tigers +1.5 runs and -135 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Indians are 6-5 SU and 3-7 ATS. The team has lost 2.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units against the spread (ATS). Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Tigers are 4-6 SU and have gone 4-5 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this year and 1.2 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Indians games have had an over/under record of 3-7 so far in 2018. The Tigers have an over/under record of 3-6.
The Tigers have lost 0.3 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 4.4 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Right-hander Jordan Zimmermann (0-0, 8.71 ERA) will get the start for the visiting Tigers. Zimmermann started 29 games last year and finished the season 8-13 overall with a 6.08 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. He made three starts against the Indians in 2017 and put together a 0-3 record against them with a 9.22 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Indians are turning to righty Carlos Carrasco (2-0, 5.40 ERA), who struck out 226 hitters over 200 innings last year (32 starts), while finishing the season 18-6 overall with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. He recorded six starts against Detroit a year ago and compiled a 4-1 record with a 1.82 ERA and 45 strikeouts.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 3.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.03, a WHIP of 1.08 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.90, a WHIP of 0.90 and a K/9 of 9.3. In five games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 1.05 and the bullpen’s ERA is 0.84.
Cleveland’s hitters have put up 2.8 runs per contest, including 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .153/.238/.264 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Indians’ offense has been led by outfielders Lonnie Chisenhall and Tyler Naquin. Chisenhall is slashing .235/.381/.294 with four hits, zero RBIs and three runs scored, and Naquin’s line is .214/.313/.429 with three hits and two RBIs.
Chisenhall didn’t do very well against righties at home last season, slashing .250/.286/.471 over 112 such plate appearances (his total season line was .288/.360/.521).
For the visitors, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.93 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 6.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.89, along with a WHIP of 1.06 and a K-per-9 of 8.57.
Tigers hitters have slashed .213/.303/.310 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Nicholas Castellanos and JaCoby Jones have led Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .300/.378/.450 with 12 hits, three RBIs and eight runs scored, while Jones is hitting .300/.500/.300 with three hits and zero RBIs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .272/.320/.490, Castellanos did not do as well hitting against righties on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .212/.264/.360 across 239 such plate appearances.
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
Detroit has recorded 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
The Tigers have hit two home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 12 over their last 10.
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