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Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Pick 08/29/18

Royals vs Indians
David Dermer-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Tigers will be taking on their division rival Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Kansas City (-110) as the favorite over Detroit (+100). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Tigers +1.5 runs (-210) and Royals -1.5 runs (+175).

The Royals are 41-91 straight up (SU) and 62-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 32.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.9 units (ATS). Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Tigers are 53-79 SU and have gone 67-64 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 8.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. Detroit is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 56-66-9 in 2018. The Tigers have also been a great under bet with a total record of 54-71-6.

Right-hander Michael Fulmer is projected to start for Detroit. Fulmer is 3-9 with a 4.32 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals will turn to lefty Danny Duffy (7-11, 4.85 ERA), who has 135 strikeouts and 66 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.49. Duffy is 0-2 with eight strikeouts and an 11.32 ERA over two starts against Detroit this year.

Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.51 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.24 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.31.

Tigers hitters have slashed .241/.301/.377 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced Detroit’s hitters. Castellanos is slashing .292/.346/.491 with 19 home runs, 73 RBIs and 70 runs scored. Iglesias (.267/.309/.388) has produced five homers, 48 RBIs, 42 runs and 15 stolen bases.

In the home-team dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.25, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 5.21 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 7.3 K/9. In 54 games against divisional opponents, Royals starters have an ERA of 5.18 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.

Kansas City’s offense has put up 3.7 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .284/.337/.500 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and catcher Salvador Perez have led the Royals’ hitters this year. Merrifield is hitting .308/.375/.441 with 10 home runs, 47 RBIs, 64 runs and 28 stolen bases, and Perez’s line sits at .235/.274/.438 with 23 homers, 65 RBIs and 44 runs.

The Tigers have gained 5.0 units and are 20-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 27.3 units and are 40-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve cashed the under.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.

The Tigers have lost five of their last six games SU while the Royals have taken three of their last four.

Detroit has posted 20 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19 over its last five.

The Tigers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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